Bitcoin Outperforms Traditional Assets While DeFi Continues to Grow

Market Watch Weekly is a review of crypto markets and developments each week.

With three trading days left until this month’s close, financial markets are now increasingly driven by global central bank policy rather than by fundamentals. The upside risk of a stronger dollar is putting pressure on the prices of many assets, resulting in the S&P 500 Index recording its fourth straight week of declines. Meanwhile, the price of gold also plummeted from last week’s opening price of $1,950 to $1,860. In comparison, however, Bitcoin ( BTC) fell just 0.61% in the last week and is back above $10,800 after a rally over the weekend, as per the OKEx BTC spot price.

Overall, the cryptocurrency market capitalization rose for four straight days after the Sept. 23 sell-off, returning to levels around $350 billion, as per CoinGecko’s data.

While Bitcoin was strong, major altcoins were a mixed bag last week. Cardano ( ADA) led the way with a weekly gain of 15.09%, and Chainlink ( LINK) and Bitcoin SV ( BSV) posted gains of about 10%.

Polkdot ( DOT) lost another 7% last week, falling from $4.70 to as low as $3.90 before bouncing back to $4.30. The price of Ether ( ETH) plunged due to a mid-week sell-off in the decentralized finance sector, and it did not rebound as strongly as Bitcoin, falling 4.46% for the week. Notably, the one-month realized volatility of Ether has now increased sharply to 112%, while the one-month implied volatility has fallen to 61%, which speaks to the price fluctuations on display in the markets.

CME also released the latest (as of Sept. 22) Bitcoin futures position data on Sept. 26. Bitcoin prices took a big hit during this reporting period, and open interest dropped from an all-time high of 9,383 to 8,426, in which the long positions held by asset manager accounts fell sharply from 717 to 285. This shows that the short-term price correction significantly impacted market optimism.

According to the report, leveraged fund accounts saw their long positions fall from 2,819 to 2,280, while short positions dropped from 5,224 to 4,480. Meanwhile, in terms of other reportable accounts, long positions fell from 1,653 to 1,580, and short positions decreased from 2,766 to 2,062. The large reduction in the shorts was likely triggered by profit-taking activities.

Overall, we can see that the sharp price correction in the last reporting period triggered risk-control actions by institutional investors, and a large number of long positions were closed. We will continue to watch how institutions respond to the weekend’s price rally in the next reporting period.

Moreover, data from Bybt shows Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) bought 17,100 BTC in the last seven days, increasing its aggregate Bitcoin position to 449,900 BTC. This accumulation does explain, to some extent, why Bitcoin’s price didn’t dip further despite strong bearish market expectations last week.

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Bitcoin Outperforms Traditional Assets While DeFi Continues to Grow was originally published in OKEx Blog on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.

Publication date: 
09/28/2020 - 13:33

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