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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is paring a portion of its recent gains entering the new weekly session, trading just a little over $57,000 after breaching $60,000 last week.
Investors have shifted their focus on the minutes from the Federal Reserveās March meeting, coming out Wednesday in a relatively quiet macroeconomic week. The question remains how the US central bank would react to rising interest rates in the bond markets. A rate hike proposal could erase some gains off the Bitcoin market, which exploded against an ultra-loose policy environment.
Lower benchmark rates sap investorsā appetite for government bonds for returning dismissing yields. As a result, the United States attracts less foreign capital, which, in turn, hurts the US dollar demand. Additionally, the prospect of rising government debts also shifts investors to riskier alternatives, benefiting riskier assets like bitcoin.
So far, the cryptocurrencyās hardcore investors are relaxed, owing to the Fedās ādot plotā of interest rate projections that signals no rate hikes until 2024. Nevertheless, compared to the end of the last year, more state-based central bankers have penciled in higher interest rates.
Bitcoin investors could choose to focus on Fedās statements on growth and inflation, especially after the central bankās commitment to let the inflation rate run higher above 2 percent.
Potential Actions Ahead
The amount of fiscal stimulus released by Joe Bidenās administration has further increased inflationary risks hugely. Therefore, it is likely that Fed intervenes sooner or later by raising its rates to avoid aggressive upside ticks in consumer prices. Or, it could simply decide to intervene by purchasing longer-dated government debts.
All and all, Bitcoin looks attractive long-term, so any potential selling this week might not become a full-fledged bearish assault.
A team of strategists at JPMorgan & Chase noted that the BTC/USD exchange rate could reach $130,000 for as long as it challenges the goldās status-quo as the leading hedging asset against fiat.
āConsidering how big the financial investment into gold is, any such crowding out of gold as an āalternativeā currency implies [a] big upside for bitcoin over the long termā¦ Mechanically, the Bitcoin price would have to rise [to] $130,000 to match the total private sector investment in gold,ā JP MorganĀ reportedly said.
Bitcoin Technical Outlook
Data on ByBt.com shows that around 12,000 Bitcoin tokens left exchanges in the previous 30 days. Meanwhile, the cost to purchase one Bitcoin is up 20.35 percent. The correlation between the two metrics represents tradersā willingness to hold their crypto investments than trade them for other assets.
Technically, a bitcoin above $50,000 represents a bullish outlook, given uncertainties around the Fedās ability to pursue its dot plot. Short-term, the cryptocurrency looks it could maintain weekly support above $55,000. Should it sustain above the price floor, its likelihood of retesting $60,000 for a breakout will be higher.
Photo by Jeremy Bishop on UnsplashĀ
Disclaimer
The views and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not reflect the views of Bitcoin Insider. Every investment and trading move involves risk - this is especially true for cryptocurrencies given their volatility. We strongly advise our readers to conduct their own research when making a decision.