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BTC price dropped below $56,000 again, leading analysts to discuss various bull and bear scenarios for Bitcoinâs short term price action.
Cooler heads are calling for a collective deep breath and a step back to see the long-term outlook for the future of Bitcoin (BTC) price and the wider crypto market, but Monday's drop back under $56,000 is raising eyebrows among traders.
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that after starting the week near $60,000, several days of bears hammering the price of Bitcoin resulted in a revisit to $55,600.
BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView
Hereâs what analysts have to say about the latest price action from Bitcoin and what to look out for in the days ahead.
Keep an eye on the monthly close
A closer look at the monthly price action for Bitcoin was discussed by independent market analyst "Rekt Capital," who posted the following chart showing that BTC is close to reclaiming an important monthly close level near $58,728.
BTC/USD 1- month chart. Source: Twitter
According to Rekt Captial, the price action for BTC has been âpromisingâ thus far and is now âreally close to reclaiming this monthly level as support (green),â but the analyst cautioned that there could still be plenty of volatility in the near term as the market closes out the month of November.
Rekt Capital said,
âBut it's important to note that BTC could still easily see-saw like this for the remainder of the month. Monthly close is what matters.â
Mt. Gox trustee to distribute 145,000 BTC
Insight into the possible reasons behind the pullback was offered by David Lifchitz, managing partner and chief investment officer at ExoAlpha, who pointed to last Tuesday's announcement that the trustee of Mt. Gox that will distribute around 145,000 BTC to retail investors who had purchased them on the exchange between 2013 and 2015.
Lifchitz highlighted concerns some have that many of these âmom ân pop investorsâ who stand to âreceive a windfall in the near futureâ due to BTC being 100 times higher than their original purchase price âwill probably cash them out at any price, which will probably hit pretty hard the market when the news of the effective distribution will break.â
As for now, Lifchitz feels that âthe selloff seems to be over at the $57,000 to $58,000 support level,â and looks âready to reach again toward $63,000 and above in the next few days.â
But caution is warranted moving forward, according to Lifchitz, as the threat of a future sell-off once the Mt. Gox BTC are released.
Lifchitz said,
âHowever, that Mt.Gox is a Damocles sword above the market's head, and I don't see BTC going to $100,000 next month with that threat hanging. Whales have been holding tight, but haven't bought much more. I guess they are well aware of the Mt.Gox upcoming drama and are waiting to load up on the potential upcoming huge dip. Now once the Mt.Gox hurdle will be cleared, Bitcoin will have a clear path to reach new highs, barring some crazy regulations that could spoil the party.â
Related: Metaverse and blockchain gaming altcoins rally while Bitcoin looks for support
Historical analysis suggests Bitcoin price may have bottomed
A final bit of insight was offered by analyst and pseudonymous Twitter user "TechDev" who posted the following charts comparing the 2017 price action for Bitcoin with the current market.
2017 BTC price action vs. 2021 BTC price action. Source: Twitter
According to TechDev, the current correction is âfollowing 2017's mid-Nov to near perfectionâ with the âonly minor differenceâ being âa break of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).â
TechDev said,
âWe may not have bottomed, but it is close. Everything I am seeing suggests a high probability the next 5â15 weeks will be massive (including BTC and alt mania).â
The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $2.51 trillion and Bitcoinâs dominance rate is 41.9%.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Disclaimer
The views and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not reflect the views of Bitcoin Insider. Every investment and trading move involves risk - this is especially true for cryptocurrencies given their volatility. We strongly advise our readers to conduct their own research when making a decision.