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Bitcoin could end 2018 at $22,000, Fundstrat Global Investors analyst Tom Lee repeated in new predictions about the end of the cryptocurrency bear market October 19.
Lee: 200-day MA âVery Importantâ
Speaking during an interview with social media blog Crypto Tips, Lee, who is known for his bullish stance on Bitcoin in particular, highlighted the 200-day moving average price trend as a key factor in determining its future performance.
âWhen Bitcoinâs below its 200-day, it only goes up 50 percent of the time in the next sixth months, but when itâs above its 200-day, itâs up 80 percent of the time,â he said referring to analysis produced by Fundstrat last week.
âThe 200-day and the trend thatâs implied by that is obviously very important.
Ethereum âCapitulatedâ?
Far from a continuation of this yearâs price downturn, Lee added he thinks it is âmore likelyâ that Bitcoin 00 would put in an unexpected climb.
That hypothesis runs counter to assumptions shared by many other analysts within the cryptocurrency industry, who have endorsed an idea BTC/USD must first âbottomâ as low as $3000 before finally challenging its all-time highs.
For Lee, $6000 is the âfloor.â
âWhere can the surprise take place? I know a lot of people think Bitcoinâs price will collapse to $3000; I think whatâs more probable a surprise is that we have a very explosive increase in price,â he continued.
For Ethereum (ETH) 00 meanwhile, Lee also saw support returning to markets. The largest altcoin by market cap had fallen more precipitously than Bitcoin, at one point trading as low as $170 in recent months, its worst performance since May 2017.
ââŠEthereum is already trading like itâs capitulated,â he said.
In 2018, a combination of factors including the EOS ICO, ICOs in general, BitMEXâs ETH futures and media âhitjobsâ had created a ânegativeâ story around the asset.
What do you think about Tom Leeâs predictions? Let us know in the comments below!
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