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Bitcoin has added 1.4% in the last 24 hours, reaching the 16.7K level. It is a new attempt to test the 50-day moving average on a general lull and an effort by the bulls to paint a more optimistic technical picture with less strength while liquidity remains depressed.
This tactic is already successful, as the total capitalisation exceeds 800 billion (+1.6% in 24 hours).
The current dynamic looks like an attempt to draw a line under a bearish 2022. We also note that the December lows were higher than the November lows. But to argue for a reversal, it is more prudent to wait for a renewal of the local highs rather than relying only on the waning declines.
Closing the day above the 50-day average (around 16750) might give new momentum to the upside, and consolidation above 17K might be notable news in the quiet information flow and serve as a decoy for the bulls.
At the same time, we recall that since July 2022, overcoming the 50-day average served as a trigger for selling on impressive volumes, and bitcoin soon renewed lows.
About the author
Alex Kuptsikevich is a financial market professional with 16-years’ experience and a senior financial analyst at FxPro. He is the author of daily reviews on the impact of economic events with comments featured in top international and Russian media. Alex covers fundamental analysis, global markets, the foreign exchange market, gold, oil, and cryptocurrencies in his analytical pieces. As the senior financial analyst at FxPro, Alex is a guest expert in 1-tier global media such as Forbes, Coindesk, Euromoney and Morning Star.
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